BARVENNON.COM
JOHNES
LATEST  SPIN
KILLERBELT
GUNS
TRANSPORT
FUTURE
SOUTH ASIA
LINKS

6  June 1999
AUSTRALIAN   SPIN
WEEKLY OPINION

SERBIA

As predicted by SPIN on 23 May, 1999 the NATO war in Yugoslavia is ending.  Details of Slobbo's victory are very well hidden.

The costs of saving Willie's face are:

  1. Maintenance of a huge occupying force to suppress the KLA, indefinitely.
  2. US recognition of Yugoslav integrity.  Gradual reinstallation of Yugoslav hegemony.
  3. There will be HUGE reparations in Kosovo.  The Yugoslav economy can be expected to boom.
  4. The KLA must be disbanded.  Rugova will probably be reinstated.
Where is the mechanism of this defeat?   Serbia gets no guarantees because Serbia has not yielded anything.  For NATO the occupation of Yugoslavia was never a problem.   The problem is the guerilla warfare that would follow an unwelcomed occupation.

If NATO does not deliver on it's promises, then Serbia can start a guerilla war in Kosovo.  That is Serbia's guarantee that NATO will keep to it's word.  (After NATO has it's occupancy proposals passed by the UN security council)

There will undoubtedly be further activity calculated to conceal reality.  It is likely that Republican strategists have strobed the spin.  The Albanians see the ruse but will be discounted as paranoid.  Serbia has been told to be stum.  Whether public network information dispensers can disperse the fog and expose the underlying strategy before the public's focus shifts is an interesting question.  It is unlikely that network management selected journalists would break ranks.  The unknown is Drudge.

If there is much delay, the warp will unravel.  It is Spin's guess that Willie & Slobbo might be jointly praying for a natural disaster somewhere.

Anywhere!!!

INDONESIA

The Indonesian elections are gathering momentum.  The ruling Golkar party faces the prospect of defeat on Monday 7 June 1999.    SPIN recalls a relevant piece of political graffiti from the sixties.

VOTE   INFORMAL
A   POLITICIAN   ALWAYS   WINS

 
What Indonesians (and Australians!) need is a party that promises direct democracy, where important laws must be directly voted for by citizens.  Fat chance!

Even Suharto could be elected if he promised direct democracy.

Pauline Hanson promised CIR (Citizen's initiated Referendum).  Despite negative publicity, look how many votes she obtained.
 
archives