BARVENNON.COM
16th, 20th, 25th July 2006
AUSTRALIAN DIARY
What
is "objective
analysis"?
-
HAMAS & HIZB'ALLAH -
One cynic stated that Hamas held off the kidnap until after the world
cup. I wonder..
The Iranian President has been reported on Drudge as likening the
Israelis to Hitler. Ahmadinejad:
Israel acting like Hitler.
Mr Ahmadinejad, we in the West have heard stories of what
Hitler
did. If you are going to cast aspersions against Israelis, at
least try to make them believable. If Hitler had
been President of Israel, and Palestinians had kidnapped a few
soldiers, Hitler would have captured and had shot (say) 10 Palestinians
from the nearest town for each day for each soldier until his soldiers
were returned. If his soldiers were then killed, he would have
executed (say) 1,000 people for each soldier.
Another problem, Mr Ahmadinejad. You have publicly
promised, in the event that Israel decides to attack Syria, to come to
Syria's aid. Now just how would you plan to fulfill that
promise? You have no common border with Syria, (see map)
so how would you plan to deliver your aid to Syria? I imagine
that the Americans would take a dim view of hostile Iranian forces or
ordinance passing over or through or near their bases in Iraq or
Turkey. They might get to try out their new ABM. And the
Saudis are not your best friends, let alone the Jordanians, so they
probably wont grant you passage.
And please remember, the Israelis might well have a few surprises of
their own.
I remember a war about half a century past, when the world was amazed
that a tiny country demolished proud armies that outnumbered their
population.
This is a warning that you probably will not believe. I suggest
that you back off. Just write off Hizb'allah.
I think that the midget will have teeth that you would not believe.
The situation in Lebanon reminds me somehow of Brer Wolf and
the
tar baby. I concur with Putin. The Israelis have an agenda.
20th July.. Well
things have developed somewhat, and I still have not posted this.
Trendy lefty journalists are telling Australians that this war won't
solve
anything, that the people in Lebanon blame Hizb'allah for bringing the
Israelis in, but now they are forgetting the "why" and starting to
blame the Israelis. Saudi Arabia and a few other Arab states are
blaming Hizb'allah
for stirring up the ant nest.
On a lefty blog my attention was drawn to the story of Ishmael,
in chapters 16 & 17 of Genesis. According to Mohommed,
Ishmael was the founder of the non-Jewish Arab race. He was also
the first son of Abraham, borne by Hagar, who was his wife Sarah's
servant/slave. About ten years after Ishmael was born, Sarah had
Isaac, who was the founder of the Jewish tribe.
In normal circumstances, Ishmael would have had problems with his
younger brother. Ishmael was the bastard elder son of a servant
or concubine who did not inherit
legitimacy. In fact, an angel of God laid this prediction on
Ishmael prior to his birth:
He will be a wild donkey of a man;
his hand will be against everyone
and everyone's hand against him,
and he will live in hostility
toward all his brothers.
However the Arab Prophet Mohommed founded a world religion after
identifying Arabs as those descendants of Ishmael that were written of
in this chapter and verse. It seems reasonable that the
circumstances that brought about the prediction would propagate among
Ishmael's descendants. It is psychologically plausible that in
their bible text Muslims identify Jews as the favored brother who
inherited legitimacy.
Perhaps the solution to this conflict is to rewrite Genesis 16 & 17.
25th July.. Golda
Meir stated another precondition for the end of the Palestinian
wars. "There
will be peace when the Palestinians love their children more than they
hate us.".
Sounds as though Hamas is prepared to stop fighting and return the
prisoners in Gaza. There are rumors that the
Iranians stopped Hamas from settling around a week ago.
As for Hizb'allah, current informed thinking seems to be that the
Iranians put them up to the kidnapping, hoping thereby to take the heat
out of the developing situation in the UN regarding uranium 235
refining. They certainly managed to move the world's attention
away from that issue, however the USA is not likely to be so easily
diverted.
Basically, Israel seem to be following the advice of Machiavelli.
You should not delay a war if the delay will benefit your
opponent. I suspect that Israel will not be in a hurry to
discontinue this fight until Hamas is destroyed.
Meanwhile liberal world opinion is beginning to notice that the
Israelis are causing civilian deaths. Unfortunately for Lebanese
civilians, this is one of the harsh lessons of war. Both
Australian Prime Minister John Howard and GWB have enunciated the
rights of the victims of terrorists. If terrorists attack from a
foreign state, and the government of that foreign state does not exert
it's sovereignty & curtail their activities, then whoever suffers
as a result of that terrorism has a right to infringe the sovereignty
of that foreign state and deal with the terrorists. As the
civilians of that foreign state are guilty (by toleration) of the
crimes of the terrorists, they must suffer the unintended consequences
of any military action where the primary intention is to eradicate the
threat.