BARVENNON.COM
11th November 2006
AUSTRALIAN DIARY
What
is "objective
analysis"?
ARCHIVES.
-
TREVOR FLUGGE
-
Last January I wrote:
I
guess the poor idiot who was AWB director will go to jail, but not
lose all his booty. If he lost the booty, (e.g. under the
proceeds
of crime act & based on the argument that his salary derived
from the performance of criminal acts) then he might tell on
TLK & Upside. I suppose that is how business is done at the
top.
He is paying the price that most of the toadies never have to
pay.
I wish to revise that opinion. They can take all of Flugge's
booty, and even jail him, however he has it made for the rest of his
life. As a consultant. Imagine the scenario:
1st
oil co executive.: "Jeezus, how are we gonna get the contract to pump
oil in Somerwhereistan?"
2nd exec: "Hang on, lets
see if Trevor is available for the negotiations".
3rd exec: "You mean
Flugge? What's he cost?"
2nd exec: "He takes 3
million retainer and 1% off the top. I know others who will try
it for lots less, but he's got respect."
1st exec: "And respect in Anywhereistan translates into
success. Right, lets ask Trevor."
Any similarities to real people is proclaimed disclaimed.
- IRAQ
-
A conspiracy theory explanation of recent world events:
A secret society that thinks it rules
the world decided circa 1990 that the Muslim religion was recovering
too
rapidly from the Muslim equivalent of the dark ages, and so set in
motion a plot to halt that recovery by fostering internecine (sectarian
and nationalist) strife across the Muslim crescent.
The first step was to find
a patsy with family connections and terrorist training & set him up
as front man of a
newly created terrorist base organization. The base organization
would have the
purpose of acting as a sponsor of provocative terrorist acts against
the
USA. Initial attempts are a flop. Knocking over an
occasional US warship or embassy did not provoke a general response,
however eventually a successful terrorist act on continental USA caused
a US sponsored UN invasion of
the country from which the base organization's front man
operated. The invading army was prevented by disinformation from
capture of the front man of the base organization.
A rather naive US president was
prevailed upon with calculated disinformation to invade a second
country in the region. The previous dictator of that
country had maintained a standing army/police force of over
500,000.
That country had three clear cultural divisions, one of which was
based on slight variations of religious belief. The other
division was ethnic, about one third (seven million) of
that nation's population belonged to a
much persecuted cultural-ethnic group. That group happened to live in an oil rich region of the
nation. A
further fifteen millions of that
same ethnic group were persecuted minorities in adjacent provinces of
neighboring countries.
Our secret society arranged that the
invading US army should not provide
sufficient troops and
infrastructure to maintain peace in the invaded nation. The
base organization then sponsored a resistance organization with the
intent of killing invader soldiers. However the invading army was
wise to the ways of terror, and these attacks were mostly
unsuccessful. The resistance started to lose
momentum. Then our secret organization persuaded the resistance
organization that fomenting a religious war would serve to end the
occupation.
After some time the count of secular attacks of the resistance reached
a
critical mass, and the hitherto peaceful members of the majority
religious group began to take up arms & attack
their religious minority neighbors.
Our plotters have nearly obtained their ends.
If a civil war starts, it
can be anticipated that the ethnic minority
will stand aside. The secular war will have international
ramifications, in that powerful neighboring countries will contend to
ensure a friendly
religious regime
in power.
The ethnic group has, in the meantime, become well armed, and possibly
able to put up a stiff resistance if surrounding predators,
(who might not fancy their own ethnic minorities obtaining a
neighboring
homeland), decide to intervene. By not seceding, they might hope
to stave off an invasion.
If the USA can be thrown out of Iraq, then the probability is that
there will be a regional internecine squabble that will
denude the professional & technological class in Iraq and throw
their
civilization backwards by 2 generations. This because it takes at
least two generations to home grow professionals and technocrats.
Of course professionals can be imported, but can imported professionals
be trusted? Willing martyrs do not
win wars, they just make it harder for the family that they leave
behind.
To be continued. . . .
DISCLAIMER: Everything on this page is
fiction.
- ABM
& SPACE STATIONS
-
Apparently Democrats in the US Senate want to cancel the ABM and
instead build a laser space station to shoot down missiles.
I have already
indicated why ABM's are an efficient & effective counter to
ICBMs. Now I will explain why a space station is no good.
A space station in orbit is a sitting duck. Everybody can see
it and predict exactly where it will be. It could be destroyed by
putting a small rocket
(probably an ABM as already described) in an opposing LEO (Low Earth
Orbit). A few minutes before orbital intersection, a small shaped
charge would be used to spray a few Kg of appropriately sized (probably
between 100g & 1Kg) pellets
of tungsten carbide or similar at the space
station. At a relative speed of around
36,000 MPH those pellets would shred* a space station sheathed in
chobham amour.
I suppose the Democrat senators live in states where space stations are
built.
* The calculation below
shows that a 1 Kg pellet colliding "head on" with a space station would
releases as
much energy as 50 Kg TNT.
- LEO speed is around 8,000 M/S. So "head on" is 16,000 M/S
- TNT has an energy value of 2.7 MJ/Kg
- KE = 0.5*M*V^2
- So E = 0.5*1*(16,000)^2=128 MJ/Kg.
- Thus TNT equivalent is 128/2.7= approximately 50.
MAIL