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SEPTEMBER  2010.


POLITICS IN THE PUB

I am a political conservative.  I think less government is better, and that our government should keep it's fingers out of foreign politics.  I am also a libertarian.  So believe that if fellow citizens wish to express either captious or lauditory opinions about Mahommed, totalitarian forms of government, feminism or race etc, then they should be free to do so, and enjoy the utmost protection from our forces of law and order against those who have differing opinions.

Sometimes I go to a hotbed of radical extremism in Surrey Hills at the Gaelic Club.  The group calls itself Politics in the Pub" and meet Fridays.  They provide featured speakers on, well, radical subjects.  Last Friday there was a film maker whose subject was the poor mistreated Palestinians.  So far as I could establish, she felt that the Palestinians were in the right because they were so hopeless at winning against the Israelis.  "You just have to look at the fatality count comparison" she said.

"Well Duh" I thought.  "Would you sympathize with the crooks because the cops seem to always win?"

Lets look at a brief narrative of Israeli history.  Israel has been occupied since Roman times.  (and before that, if you read it up).  The count of Jews living there has been subject to the whims of the occupying power.  The Turks transported a lot out in the 19th Century.  The Turks transported lots of their subject races, just ask a Greek.  Then after the Turkish defeat of WWI the Brits got Palestine under a mandate from the League of Nations.

Back in the 1940's the Israelis and the Palestinians were having a civil war. The newly formed UN did what it should have done in 1994 in Rwanda.  It divided the country along the ceasefire line, and declared two nations, Palestine and Israel.  Neither side was happy, but it was better than civil war.

In the 1950's the Suez Crisis increased tension, when UK and France joined up with Israel to counter Egypt's unilateral abrogation of the Suez Canal treaty.

In 1967 the Palestinians united with others (Syria, Jordan and Egypt) and broke that peace by mobilizing for an invasion of Israel.  Much to the humiliation of Arab pride, the Israelis took six days to wipe them off the map.  The Israelis ended up with the Sinai peninsula and Golan Heights, and the West Bank (Palestine).

The Egyptians subsequently signed a peace treaty with the Israelis, and got all of their territory (Sinai and the Suez Canal) back.  Since then relations between Israel have been civilized, if not cordial.

The Syrians declined to sign a peace treaty and still have not got Golan Heights back.

The Palestinians have refused to sign a peace treaty, but nonetheless have got most of Palestine back, but as an occupied country with limited self rule.  The Israelis have at times (e.g. under the auspices of Bill Clinton?) offered all the territory (to UN 1967 borders, even including parts of Jerusalem, I believe) back, but balked at granting the "Right of Return". 

My own narrative of why peace is not happening is that there are too many players, too much oil money, and overriding religious reasons.

The Shia Sunni struggle is between the Iranians and the Saudis.  Both have oil money.  The Iranians have a theocratic Shia dictatorship with a somewhat rebellious population of around 70 million.  The Saudis have a non sectarian kingdom of about 25 million with an independent extremist wahhabi cleric estate.  Iraq is mostly Shia.  Egypt has no money but 80 million people.  The Israeli Palestinian struggle is between proxies for those powers.

All middle eastern states are Muslim, and Mahommed taught that they should not fight among themselves.  He also provided the example of persecuting Jews.  (Although his actions belied his words, such as "do as I say, not as I do".  Mahommed was a powerful warlord and slaveowner who always spoke words of peace and spoke against slavery.)  Israel is thus a state of extreme interest to all Muslims.

I have no respect for those who seem to assume that the Israelis are in the wrong because the fatality count is what it is.  My answer to them is, compare that fatality count to the populations of Muslims and Jews, or Arabs and Israelis.


 
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